Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives / edited by Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin.

Contributor(s): Tetlock, Philip | Belkin, Aaron, 1966-Material type: TextTextPublication details: Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, c1996Description: x, 344 p. ; 23 cmISBN: 9780691027913 (pbk.); 0691027919 (pbk.)Subject(s): World politics | History -- Philosophy | Counterfactuals (Logic) | Thought experimentsDDC classification: 901 LOC classification: D16.9 | .C645 1996
Contents:
1. Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives / Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin -- 2. Causes and counterfactuals in social science : exploring an analogy between cellular automata and historical processes / James D. Fearon -- 3. Counterfactual reasoning in western studies of Soviet politics and foreign relations / George W. Breslauer -- 4. Confronting Hitler and its consequences / Yuen Foong Khong -- 5. Back to the past : counterfactuals and the Cuban missile crisis / Richard Ned Lebow and Janice Gross Stein -- 6. Counterfactual reasoning in motivational analysis : U.S. policy toward Iran / Richard K. Herrmann and Michael P. Fischerkeller -- 7. Counterfactuals about war and its absence / Bruce Russett -- 8. Using counterfactuals in historical analysis : theories of revolution / Edgar Kiser and Margaret Levi -- 9. Counterfactuals and international affairs : Some insights from game theory / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita -- 10. Off-the-path behavior : a game-theoretic approach to counterfactuals and its implications for political and historical analysis / Barry R. Weingast -- 11. Rerunning history : counterfactual simulation in world politics / Lars-Erik Cederman -- 12. Counterfactuals, past and future / Steven Weber -- Commentary 1 : Conceptual blending and counterfactual argument in the social and behavioral sciences / Mark Turner -- Commentary 2 : Psychological biases in counterfactual thought experiments / James M. Olson, Neal J. Roese and Ronald J. Deibert -- Commentary 3 : Counterfactual inferences as instances of statistical inferences / Robyn M. Dawes -- Commentary 4 : Counterfactuals, causation, and complexity / Robert Jervis.
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Item type Current library Collection Call number Copy number Status Date due Barcode
Book Book University of Macedonia Library
Βιβλιοστάσιο Α (Stack Room A) 		Main Collection D16.9.C645 1996 (Browse shelf (Opens below)) 1 Available 0013114734

Includes bibliographical references (p. [317]-335) and index.

1. Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives / Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin -- 2. Causes and counterfactuals in social science : exploring an analogy between cellular automata and historical processes / James D. Fearon -- 3. Counterfactual reasoning in western studies of Soviet politics and foreign relations / George W. Breslauer -- 4. Confronting Hitler and its consequences / Yuen Foong Khong -- 5. Back to the past : counterfactuals and the Cuban missile crisis / Richard Ned Lebow and Janice Gross Stein -- 6. Counterfactual reasoning in motivational analysis : U.S. policy toward Iran / Richard K. Herrmann and Michael P. Fischerkeller -- 7. Counterfactuals about war and its absence / Bruce Russett -- 8. Using counterfactuals in historical analysis : theories of revolution / Edgar Kiser and Margaret Levi -- 9. Counterfactuals and international affairs : Some insights from game theory / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita -- 10. Off-the-path behavior : a game-theoretic approach to counterfactuals and its implications for political and historical analysis / Barry R. Weingast -- 11. Rerunning history : counterfactual simulation in world politics / Lars-Erik Cederman -- 12. Counterfactuals, past and future / Steven Weber -- Commentary 1 : Conceptual blending and counterfactual argument in the social and behavioral sciences / Mark Turner -- Commentary 2 : Psychological biases in counterfactual thought experiments / James M. Olson, Neal J. Roese and Ronald J. Deibert -- Commentary 3 : Counterfactual inferences as instances of statistical inferences / Robyn M. Dawes -- Commentary 4 : Counterfactuals, causation, and complexity / Robert Jervis.

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