Valuing a homeland security policy : countermeasure for the threats from shoulder mounted missiles / V. Kerry Smith, Carol Mansfield, Laurel Clayton.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. 14325.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 2008.Description: 40 p. : ill. ; 22 cmSubject(s): LOC classification:
  • HB1 .N38 no. 14325
Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Also available as an electronic book via the World Wide Web.
Summary: This paper reports estimates for the ex ante tradeoffs for three specific homeland security policies that all address a terrorist attack on commercial aircraft with shoulder mounted missiles. Our analysis focuses on the willingness to pay for anti-missile laser jamming countermeasures mounted on commercial aircraft compared with two other policies as well as the prospect of remaining with the status quo. Our findings are based a stated preference conjoint survey conducted in 2006 and administered to a sample from Knowledge Networks' national internet panel. The estimates range from $100 to $220 annually per household. Von Winterfeldt and O'Sullivan's [2006] analysis of the same laser jamming plan suggests that the countermeasures would be preferred if economic losses are above $74 billion, the probability of attack is larger than 0.37 in ten years, and if the cost of the measures is less than about $14 billion. Our results imply that, using the most conservative of our estimates, a program with a cost consistent with their thresholds would yield significant aggregate net benefits. More generally, this research grows out of a need to measure the benefits of an iconic public good -- national defense -- to assess the economic efficiency of Department of Homeland Security policies.
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Item type Current library Collection Call number Copy number Status Date due Barcode
Book Book University of Macedonia Library Βιβλιοστάσιο Β (Stack Room B) Research Papers HB1.N38 no. 14325 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Available 0013115760

Includes bibliographical references (p. 24-28).

This paper reports estimates for the ex ante tradeoffs for three specific homeland security policies that all address a terrorist attack on commercial aircraft with shoulder mounted missiles. Our analysis focuses on the willingness to pay for anti-missile laser jamming countermeasures mounted on commercial aircraft compared with two other policies as well as the prospect of remaining with the status quo. Our findings are based a stated preference conjoint survey conducted in 2006 and administered to a sample from Knowledge Networks' national internet panel. The estimates range from $100 to $220 annually per household. Von Winterfeldt and O'Sullivan's [2006] analysis of the same laser jamming plan suggests that the countermeasures would be preferred if economic losses are above $74 billion, the probability of attack is larger than 0.37 in ten years, and if the cost of the measures is less than about $14 billion. Our results imply that, using the most conservative of our estimates, a program with a cost consistent with their thresholds would yield significant aggregate net benefits. More generally, this research grows out of a need to measure the benefits of an iconic public good -- national defense -- to assess the economic efficiency of Department of Homeland Security policies.

Also available as an electronic book via the World Wide Web.

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