Policymaking for posterity / Lawrence H. Summers, Richard J. Zeckhauser.

By: Summers, Lawrence HContributor(s): Zeckhauser, Richard | National Bureau of Economic ResearchMaterial type: TextTextSeries: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. 14359.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 2008Description: 50 p. : ill. ; 22 cmSubject(s): Economic policy | Political planningLOC classification: HB1 | .N38 no. 14359Online resources: Click here to access online Summary: Policymaking for posterity involves current decisions with distant consequences. Contrary to conventional prescriptions, we conclude that the greater wealth of future generations may strengthen the case for preserving environmental amenities; lower discount rates should be applied to the far future, and special effort should be made to avoid actions that impose costs on future generations. -- Posterity brings great uncertainties. Even massive losses, such as human extinction, however, do not merit infinite negative utility. Given learning, greater uncertainties about damages could increase or decrease the optimal level of current mitigation activities. -- Policies for posterity should anticipate effects on: alternative investments, both public and private; the actions of other nations; and the behaviors of future generations. Such effects may surprise. -- This analysis blends traditional public finance and behavioral economics with a number of hypothetical choice problems.
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Research Papers HB1.N38 no. 14359 (Browse shelf (Opens below)) 1 Available 0013119307

Includes bibliographical references (p. 47-50).

Policymaking for posterity involves current decisions with distant consequences. Contrary to conventional prescriptions, we conclude that the greater wealth of future generations may strengthen the case for preserving environmental amenities; lower discount rates should be applied to the far future, and special effort should be made to avoid actions that impose costs on future generations. -- Posterity brings great uncertainties. Even massive losses, such as human extinction, however, do not merit infinite negative utility. Given learning, greater uncertainties about damages could increase or decrease the optimal level of current mitigation activities. -- Policies for posterity should anticipate effects on: alternative investments, both public and private; the actions of other nations; and the behaviors of future generations. Such effects may surprise. -- This analysis blends traditional public finance and behavioral economics with a number of hypothetical choice problems.

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