The slow decline of East Germany / Harald Uhlig.

By: Uhlig, Harald, 1961-Contributor(s): National Bureau of Economic ResearchMaterial type: TextTextSeries: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; no. 14553.Publication details: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 2008Description: 47 p. : ill. ; 22 cmSubject(s): Germany -- Economic conditions -- 1990- | Germany -- Emigration and immigrationLOC classification: HB1 | .N38 no. 14553Online resources: Click here to access online Summary: Fifteen years after German reunification, the facts about slow regional convergence have born out the prediction of Barro (1991), except that migration out of East Germany has not slowed down. I document that in particular the 18-29 year old are leaving East Germany, and that the emigration has accelerated in recent years. I document that low wages, high unemployment and increasing reliance on social security persist across wide regions of East Germany together with these migration patterns. To understand these patterns, I use an extension of the standard labor search model introduced in Uhlig (2006, 2008) by allowing for migration and network externalities. In that theory, two equilibria can result: one with a high networking rate, high average labor productivity, low unemployment and no emigration ("West Germany'') and one with a low networking rate, low average labor productivity, high unemployment and a constant rate of emigration ("East Germany''). The model does not imply any obviously sound policies to move from the weakly networked equilibrium to the highly networked equilibrium.
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Book Book University of Macedonia Library
Βιβλιοστάσιο Β (Stack Room B)
Research Papers HB1.N38 no. 14553 (Browse shelf (Opens below)) 1 Available 0013116388

Includes bibliographical references (p. 19-21).

Fifteen years after German reunification, the facts about slow regional convergence have born out the prediction of Barro (1991), except that migration out of East Germany has not slowed down. I document that in particular the 18-29 year old are leaving East Germany, and that the emigration has accelerated in recent years. I document that low wages, high unemployment and increasing reliance on social security persist across wide regions of East Germany together with these migration patterns. To understand these patterns, I use an extension of the standard labor search model introduced in Uhlig (2006, 2008) by allowing for migration and network externalities. In that theory, two equilibria can result: one with a high networking rate, high average labor productivity, low unemployment and no emigration ("West Germany'') and one with a low networking rate, low average labor productivity, high unemployment and a constant rate of emigration ("East Germany''). The model does not imply any obviously sound policies to move from the weakly networked equilibrium to the highly networked equilibrium.

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